Yesterday there were ticket inspectors on the train. First time in three years. That’s a 1/1000 event.
I had not validated my ticket. I have perhaps not validated my ticket about 30 times in three years. All for good reasons.
Yesterday it was because I didn’t want to miss the train (!). That’s 3/100 chance I didn’t validate my ticket.
The chances I would get caught by a ticket inspector?
A 1 in 30,000 event. That’s pretty unlikely.
Chance I would get off the fine: 50:50.
I made it. By being charming.